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September 2003
Hitting the Wall: Realizing that Vertical
Limits Aren't
by Jim Collins
Chapter 1 and Epilogue from the book UPWARD
BOUND: Nine Original Accounts of How
Business Leaders Reached Their Summits
Edited by Michael Useem, Jerry Useem and Paul Asel
In 1999, Nick Sagar reached the end of his rope. He had a dream:
to climb The Crew, a route at the upper end of the rock climbing
difficulty scale in Rifle State Park, Colorado. In his 20s, Sagar
had given his life over to the monomaniacal dedication required
to climb 5.14 routes (the highest rating possible), living off
a few dollars of sponsorship money with his wife Heather, munching
donated energy bars and living out of a truck parked at the crags
for months at a time.
Then Sagar saw the dream crumble before his eyes. During a rest
day while preparing for his next attempt, he got the bad news:
his sponsorship from a climbing gear company—money desperately
needed to survive while working on the route—failed to come
through. Out of money, he had no choice but to abandon his quest
for The Crew and head home, seeking work. Sagar knew that he would
likely never again be fit enough to ascend the route; never again
would he have an entire year to do nothing but live in Rifle Park
and train all day every day, like an Olympic decathlete in the
year before the games. The loss of sponsorship virtually guaranteed
that he would never reach his goal. Sagar removed the gear he’d
fixed on the route months earlier. Tears streaming down his face,
he packed up his equipment and walked back to camp. He and Heather
said goodbye to their friends and drove toward the exit, defeated.
But then, a lone figure stepped into the middle of the road,
holding something in his hand.
“That’s Herman,” said Nick, “What the
heck is he doing?”
Herman Gollner, a dedicated climber in his mid-fifties, had
watched Sagar’s quest with quiet admiration. When he heard
about Sagar’s situation, he drove back to his home in Aspen,
visited his bank, and made a withdrawal. Now, here stood Herman,
with a handful of cash, flagging down Sagar’s truck.
“Here, take this,” he said, thrusting the cash at
Nick. “You must finish The Crew.”
“No . . . I couldn’t possibly . . . no,” Nick
stammered.
“You must take it,” asserted Herman, in his Austrian
accent. “You are so close. You may never have a chance again.
I am older now—never again to climb at the top—but
you . . . maybe I can help you. Please, take it.”
The Sagars reluctantly accepted the cash, and Nick returned
to the route for another attempt. This was his Olympic Gold Medal
attempt, his shot to come through. He launched into the upper
section of the wall, feeling strong, knowing he could do it. But
just before the top, he heard a sickening sound—a little
crackle under his foot and the skitter of his climbing shoe against
stone. He had broken a key foothold!
Like one of those movie scenes where the hero grasps for something
in a dream, only to watch it disappear from his outstretched fingertips
as he wakes, Sagar watched the top of the route suddenly fly up
out of his grasp as gravity pulled his body off the rock and into
mid-air. The rope snapped tight, and he knew he’d just expended
his best effort ever. And now, without the key foothold, the route
would be even more difficult.
“I almost wanted to quit,” he said. “But Herman
and all my friends believed in me. I couldn’t let them down.”
Foothold or not, Sagar was determined to do the route, working
on it through the autumn months and into early winter. Finally,
on the last possible day of the season, with snow falling all
about, Sagar made a last attempt. The overhanging rock shielded
his hand holds from snow, but that was the only relief from the
weather. Despite sub-freezing temperatures and fingers so numb
that he could barely feel the smaller edges, Sagar pulled through
to the top and fulfilled the dream.
“I learned so much from The Crew,” reflected Sagar
three years later, “but very little of the learning was
about climbing. I learned that the highest individual achievements
are never solo events, that you only reach your best with the
help of other people, and their belief in you. It’s a lesson
I will never forget, no matter what I do with the rest of my life.”
The adventure of The Crew became not just a climb, but a classroom
for life. It was not reaching the top that mattered most, but
the lessons—the struggle and the adventure—learned
along the way. Says Sagar: “I’m a better person for
the experience, not the success.”
I’ve been a rock climber for more than thirty years now,
and while I’ll probably never break through to climb 5.14
like Nick Sagar, my whole approach to life and career has been
inextricably linked with my development as a climber. I began
in my early teenage years, when my step father signed me up for
a climbing course against my will. (“I’d rather study,”
I whined.) At the end of the first day, however, I knew I’d
discovered one of the burning passions of my life. Growing up
in Boulder, Colorado, I had one of the great climbing centers
of the world as my back yard, and some of the greatest climbers
in the world as mentors. When I applied to Stanford University
as an undergraduate, I noted in my application that one of the
main attractions of Stanford was its sandstone buildings and wonderful
weather that would enable me to train year round by climbing on
the walls between classes. (Climbing on the walls had long been
a tradition with the Stanford Alpine Club, which had even published
a small guide to routes on campus.) One day while trying an unclimbed
route on the side of the philosophy building in the main Quadrangle,
I heard a shuffle of feet behind me and then the voice of emeritus
philosophy professor John Goheen: “Really, Mr. Collins.
Do you think this is the ultimate solution to the existential
dilemma?” I named the climb Kant be Done.
Rock climbing for me has been the ultimate classroom, with lessons
applicable to all aspects of life, including business, management,
leadership and scientific study. It is a sport from which you
do not always get a second chance to learn from your mistakes—death
tends to stop the learning process—but I’ve been fortunate
to survive my own blunders. In this chapter, I offer five of my
favorite lessons from climbing as a classroom, and how they apply
to life and work outside of climbing:
1) Climb to Fallure, not Failure: How to Succeed without Reaching
the Top
2) Climb in the Future, Today: How to Succeed by Changing Your
Frame of Mind
3) Separate Probability from Consequence: How to Succeed—and
Stay Alive—by Understanding the True Risks
4) Form the Partner’s Pact: How to Succeed by Practicing
the Discipline of First Who, Then What
5) Don’t Confuse Luck and Competence: How to not let Success
Kill You
Lesson #1: Climb to Fallure, not Failure: How to Succeed
Without Reaching the Top
Matt and I walked around the bend in the trail and I stopped
dead in my tracks, looking at an absolutely beautiful sheet of
rock—smooth and slightly overhanging, with a thin finger-tip
sized seam splitting right up the middle of the grey and silver
granite wall. “You can see why I named the route Crystal
Ball,” Matt said, pointing to a baseball-sized quartzite
handhold fifty feet up the climb.
We roped up and I set off up the route, shooting for an on-sight
ascent. An “on-sight” means that on your first try
you lead the climb without any prior information about the moves
(other than what you can determine looking from the ground) and
without any artificial aid. Other climbers may have climbed the
route before you, but they have not given you any information
on how to climb the difficult sections, nor have you watched anyone
else attempt the route. For you, in other words, the route is
an entirely blank page, no matter how many other climbers have
ascended the route. You get one chance for an on-sight. Once you
start to climb, if you blow it (and thereby fall onto the rope),
you’ve forever lost the chance.
Ten feet below the crystal, my feet began to skitter about,
slipping off slick pebbles, and I curled my thumb around a little
edge, thinking to myself, “If I can just get a little weight
off my fingers . . .” The adrenaline of the on-sight attempt
made me over-grip every hold, clamping down as hard as I could—like
an overanxious runner who goes out too fast in the first 800 meters,
only to pay the price for the indiscretion with lactic acid and
gasping breaths.
If you’ve ever taken a pull-up test, you can get a sense
for the feel of a hard sport climb. With the first pull-up, you
feel really strong—like you can do this forever. But when
you get close to your limit, the exact same movement that earlier
felt so easy becomes impossibly hard. If you could just let go
of the bar and rest for a minute, you could do two or three more
pulls ups, easy. But when you try to do all of your pull ups in
one hang, you hit a wall; drawing on all your will, you just can’t
get over the bar again. End of session.
A hard sport climb is similar to a pull-up session: it’s
a race to the top before you run out of power. The same exact
moves that would be so easy if they were moves one, two, and three
become much harder when placed higher on the route, at, say, moves
25, 26 and 27. (A move is simply a hand movement. If you move
your right hand from one hold to the next, it counts as a single
move.) As we say in the realm of steep routes, “the clock
is ticking” as soon as you leave the ground. You only have
so many minutes and seconds before you will reach a point where
your arms and fingers unwrap and uncurl, and you go plummeting
down until (hopefully) the rope catches you.
“Breath, Jim. Relax.” Matt’s voice soothed
me for a moment.
I gathered a bit of composure, while hooking my thumb and resting
my fingers, trying to get my breathing to settle down. But to
little avail. My mind chattered away: “Not sure whether
to go right hand or left hand to the sideways edge above . . .
If I get it wrong, no way I can reverse . . . and even if I get
it right, I’m not sure I’ll have enough power to pull
up to the crystal ball . . . and if I can’t get to the crystal
ball, there’s no way I’ll be able to get the rope
clipped into the next point of protection . . . how far would
I fall? . . . Matt’s a good belayer . . . hope I checked
my knot . . . God, my fingers hurt . . . but this is the on-sight
. . . don’t blow it . . . you only get one chance to on-sight
the route . . . but what if I go for it and I can’t clip?
I’ll take a huge fall . . . But I won’t hit anything
. . .just fly off into space . . . It’s only scary, but
not unsafe . . . just do it . . . just punch for it . . . what
have you got to lose? . . . I wonder if I can go right left right
. . . But I don’t like to take big falls . . . “
Tick, tick, tick—the clock ran on while I hesitated.
“OK, Matt, here I go.”
Right hand to the side pull. Left foot to the edge.
“Uh oh.” Wrong call. I should have gone to the edge
with my left hand! I rolled my body to the left, groping for an
edge, a pebble, a wrinkle—something, anything—that
would allow me to pop my right hand up and move my left onto the
side edge. I smooshed my right fingers into a little edge that
pointed down and sideways—the wrong direction for a good
pull. I now had a less than 20 percent chance of success. If I
tried to make the move up, I’d almost certainly fall, a
drop of 30 feet. Even if I did manage to surge upward, the higher
I went without making the next bolt clip, the bigger the eventual
fall. (To “clip” means to get the rope into the carabiner
hanging off a protection bolt. On most modern routes, like Crystal
Ball, the first person ever to climb the route affixes permanent
protection bolts in the rock, to clip the rope through. These
bolts exist only to catch you if you fall; they do not help you
actually climb up the rock. If you fall when leading, you descend
about 2.5 times as far as the distance to your last successful
clip.)
“Off!” I called down to Matt.
“No,” he yelled back. “You’re only three
moves from the crystal. You can recover there.”
“OFF!” I repeated, with angry emphasis.
And I let go, dropping onto the rope in a nicely controlled fall.
I hung on the rope for about ten minutes, recovering, and then
swung toward the rock on the end of the rope, pulled myself back
on to the holds and climbed to the top, just as if I’d rested
below the pull up bar. But of course it didn’t count. I
hadn’t done a clean on-sight. And even though later in the
day, I managed to ascend the route from bottom to top in one shot—a
success by most measures—I had nonetheless failed. Not failed
on the climb, but failed in my mind. When confronted with the
moment of commitment, the moment of decision, the moment of go-for-it
on the on-sight . . . well, I let go. I went to failure, not fallure.
Failure and fallure. The difference is subtle, but it is all
the difference in the world. In fallure, you still fail to get
up the route but you never let go. Going to fallure means full
one hundred percent commitment to go up, despite the odds against
you. You’ll only find your true limit when you go to fallure,
not failure. Sure, I had less than a twenty percent chance of
pulling through to the crystal ball, but because I let go, I’ll
never know for sure. Perhaps I would have had an extra reserve,
perhaps I would have surprised myself and had an extra bit of
power to hang on for one more move. Or perhaps—and this
turned out to be true—the very next hold is better than
it looks. And that’s the rub. On the on-sight you don’t
know what the next holds feel like. It’s the ambiguity—about
the holds, the moves, the ability to clip the rope—that
makes 100 percent commitment on the on-sight so difficult.
One of my mentors in life, the design guru Sara Little Turnbull,
gave me a wall hanging with a quote from her speech at the 1992
Corporate Design Foundation Conference:
If you don’t
stretch
you don’t know
where the......................................edge
is
Turnbull, director of the Stanford University Process of Change
Laboratory, built a distinguished career as a design consultant
to major corporations such as Corning and 3M. The Corporate Design
Foundation described Turnbull as “CEOs’ secret weapon
in product design development.” Turnbull once told me that
some of her best designs came when she was on the brink of a failed
concept but didn’t let go. Of course, many—indeed,
most—of her brink-of-failure designs ended up being failures.
But every once in a while, by not letting go, she would push herself
to a completely different level, and something extraordinary would
come about. “And of course, that’s when breakthroughs
happen,” she told me. “You have to be on the brink
of failure and then surprise yourself. You just go to a different
level.” Fallure, not failure.
In my research on enduring great companies, I’ve noticed
how the best executives intuitively understood this idea. Darwin
Smith made a fallure versus failure decision in vaulting his company
to greatness. For one hundred years, Kimberly-Clark languished
in mediocrity, with most of its business in traditional coated
paper mills. Smith realized that the company’s best shot
at greatness lay in the paper based consumer goods arena, where
it had a side business called Kleenex—a brand that had become
synonymous with the category, like Coke or Xerox. But how to get
the company to fully commit to making the consumer business great,
when the bulk of the company’s history and revenues lay
in the traditional industrial paper mills? Like the general who
burned the boats upon landing, leaving no retreat for his soldiers,
Smith decided to sell the mills. He would sell even the mill in
Kimberly, Wisconsin, and throw all the proceeds into the consumer
business, going head to head with consumer rivals Scott Paper
and Procter and Gamble. Wall Street derided him, the business
media called the move stupid, and the analysts wrote merciless
commentary. After all, how on earth could such a mediocre paper
company take on the giants of the consumer business? But in the
end, Smith’s decision paid off. Kimberly-Clark became the
number one paper-based consumer products company in the world,
eventually beating Procter & Gamble in six of eight product
categories.
In climbing jargon, Smith removed the ability to “take”
(to tell your belayer to pull the rope tight and catch you in
a controlled fall, as I did with Matt when I failed on Crystal
Ball). Of course, there was no guarantee that Kimberly-Clark would
succeed in the consumer business—it could have taken a huge
leader fall—but Smith understood the only path to success
lay in a full commitment to climb to fallure. Anything short of
this commitment and Kimberly-Clark would have never become a great
company.
I now see life as a series of choices between going to failure
or fallure. Like an on-sight attempt, the next holds in life remain
unclear, ambiguous. And that very ambiguity holds us back from
making a fully committed attempt. We fail mentally. We let go.
We take a nice controlled fall, rather than risking a bigger fall.
But as with most hard sport climbs, going to fallure in life is
scary, but not dangerous. Whether it be starting a business or
publishing a book or trying an exciting new design, fallure rarely
means doom. And most important, the only way to find your true
limit is to go to fallure, not failure.
At age 44, my body does not allow me to pull as hard on holds
as when I was 20. But I’ve since learned that what you lose
in physical strength you can gain by increasing your mental strength.
And so, I continue to work in the realm of overhanging rock, trying
to go to fallure. I’ve even redefined “success”
less in terms of getting to the top and more in terms of the quality
of my mental effort. I keep a record on my Palm Pilot of my hard
on-sight attempts. A recent listing reads:
2002 HARD ON-SIGHT ATTEMPT LOG
REACH THE TOP: 24
CLIMB TO FALLURE: 18
FAILURE (LET GO/QUIT): 16
TOTAL ATTEMPTS: 58
% SUCCESS RATE: 72%
(TOP + FALLURE)
Note that I calculate the “success rate” not just
as the percentage of times to the top, but the percentage of times
to the top PLUS percentage of times to fallure. Just the other
day during a climbing session, I did not make it to the top of
a single route. Not one. Still, it was one of my most successful
days of climbing ever, because I went to fallure on every single
attempt. I felt good on the way home because my mind felt strong
that day, compared to the weak feeling on most days. For in the
end, climbing is not about conquering the rock; it is about conquering
yourself. And this is what fallure is all about .
The ability to change your frame of mind—to increase your
odds of success not by increasing sheer physical capability, but
by changing your way of thinking—is a key dimension of climbing
as classroom. But the failure-fallure distinction isn’t
the only mental leap to make. Sometimes it means vaulting yourself
into the future.
Lesson #2: Climb in the Future, Today: How to Succeed
by Changing Your Frame of Mind
In 1978, I became obsessed with a climb called Genesis, a smooth,
slightly overhanging hundred foot slab of red rock in Eldorado
Canyon. The route had never been free climbed, and most people
doubted it would ever fall that way. (To “free climb”
a route means that you climb with ropes but only as a safety device.
The whole point of a “free” ascent is that you move
up the rock entirely under your own power and via your hands and
feet gripped on the rock, without pulling directly on any gear
or the rope. The rope and the protection devices are there to
catch you if you fall, not to help you ascend the rock. )
Then one day I watched John Bragg, a 6 foot 2 blond haired giant
visiting from the East Coast, attempt Genesis as a free climb.
He pulled up into a smooth overhanging section (the part everyone
thought would never be climbed) and launched himself upward with
a huge throw. His hand hit a little something up on the wall,
and he stuck to it for just a second—a momentary pause,
before his hand unlatched and he plummeted down twenty five feet
onto the rope. Bragg tried this throw ten or twenty times, and
then gave up. “It’s not going to go for a long time,”
he said.
Still, my imagination had been kindled. “If he could hang
a little hold for even a second,” I thought, “it must
somehow be climbable.” And so, before returning to college
for my junior year, I ventured up the cliff to give it try. I
just could not, however, find an obvious way to climb with precision
to the little hold Bragg had been jumping for, so that I might
be able to hang on it long enough to pull up to the next hold.
I made a mental map of the holds and, upon my return to school,
found a building wall on the Stanford Campus that had moves similar
to what I thought Genesis would be like and created a training
routine called the Genocide Traverse, as a reflection of the painful
intensity of the route. I trained between classes, carrying a
needle in my shirt pocket to pop the blisters on my finger tips
that arose from the regimen. Yet even with all this training,
I failed to get up the climb when I returned for Christmas Break.
I was physically strong, but psychologically intimidated by the
supposed “unclimbability” of the route. I needed to
change my frame of mind.
But how to do it?
In studying climbing history, I noticed a pattern: climbs once
considered “impossible” by one generation of climbers
eventually became “not that hard” for climbers two
generations later. 5.10 seemed nearly impossible to climbers in
the early 1960s, but by the late 1970s, top climbers routinely
on-sighted 5.10 as warm ups for harder projects. I read up on
how records fell in other sports and noticed the same pattern.
For ten years, the world record in the mile stood at 4:01, and
no-one seemed able to break the four minute barrier. But once
Roger Bannister broke it in 1954, the world record fell six seconds
over the next ten years. By the late 1970s, when I was trying
Genesis, the mile record had fallen to under 3:50—people
had not only figured out how to run sub-four, but they were doing
so at the end of the 5,000 meters!
So, I decided to play a psychological trick on myself. I realized
that I would never be the most gifted climber, or the strongest
climber, or the boldest climber. But perhaps I could be the most
futuristic climber. I did a little thought experiment: I tried
to project out fifteen years, two generations of climbers later,
and ask myself, “What will Genesis seem like to climbers
in the 1990s?” The answer came back clear as a bell. In
the 1990s, the top climbers in the world would routinely on-sight
Genesis, viewing it as simply a warm up for even harder routes.
And less-talented athletes would view Genesis as a worthy challenge,
but hardly impossible. The barrier, I realized, was primarily
psychological, not physical
I decided to pretend in my own mind that it was not 1979, but
1994. I bought a little day timer calendar and changed all the
year dates. I walked into the canyon and tried to picture Genesis
the way a 1990s climber would look at it.
With that change in psychology, I managed to free climb the route.
It caused quite a sensation and confused many of the best climbers
of the day. They were still climbing in 1979, whereas I had “transported”
myself psychologically to 1994. And, indeed, by the early 1990s,
these same elite climbers climbed Genesis routinely, no longer
thinking of it as particularly hard. I watched one elite climber
visiting from out of state walk to the base, nonchalantly rope
up, climb flawlessly to the top, and lower down only to say, “Nice
route”—and then amble off in search of stiffer stuff.
Climbing teaches that the biggest barriers are not on the rock,
but in our minds. I’ve seen this lesson come to life with
my wife’s coaching of the local high school cross country
team. When she first became head coach, her varsity boys averaged
5:47 per mile over a cross country course. Now, seven seasons
later, the boys average 5:25 per mile—an improvement that
made the difference between a team that didn’t even qualify
for the state meet and two state championship teams in a row.
Does she have better athletes on the team? Not really; the primary
difference is psychological. She has changed the psychological
definition of “fast” for her varsity runners. The
same kids that in a different frame of mind would have considered
5:47 to be “fast” now consider 5:47 to be slow. And
when they go out in 5:25 or better, they don’t even blink
an eye. They expect themselves to run that fast. Same genetic
talent. Different “set point” psychology. Different
results. She changed their frame of mind.
Changing the frame of mind carries over to all walks of life,
particularly for entrepreneurs and visionary company builders.
The key is to recognize underlying patterns, often with the benefit
of historical perspective, and then to project forward what those
patterns will mean for future generations. When Steve Jobs visited
the Xerox Parc research facilities in 1979, he saw a bunch of
desktop computers using point and click devices and screens that
displayed exactly what would be printed on the actual page, formatting
and all. Today, we take this for granted. I’m typing these
words, while looking at a display that will print exactly as I
see it, and I can move around the page using a mouse. But in 1979,
no commercial computers—certainly not personal computers—had
these capabilities. A student of the history of technology adoption,
Jobs recognized immediately that these innovations would one day
be taken for granted. He pictured how computers would be viewed
ten or twenty years down the road, when these features would be
standard fare, for even low cost producers (as we see today with
Dell).
Instead of waiting for the world to make this shift, however,
Jobs decided to act as if the world had already changed. And in
1984, the Macintosh computer came forth, long before the natural
forces of the market would have required such a device. It caused
quite a sensation, stunning stronger and better companies such
as IBM. But of course, today we think nothing of these features.
Jobs had simply stepped forward in time and built his company’s
next generation computers with this changed frame of mind.
Fifteen years after Genesis, I applied this same idea to a significant
personal career shift. In graduate school, I’d taken career
tests that gave me two contradictory answers: I should be either
a professor or an entrepreneur. My first solution was to become
a faculty member at Stanford Graduate School of Business in the
field of entrepreneurship.
Being genetically encoded to be irreverent, however, I chafed
against the traditional academic path, refusing to subject myself
to choosing a specific department and doing a traditional Ph.D.
When you join a specific field, you become a member of the church
of that field: you become a member of the church of leadership,
the church of strategy, the church of organization behavior, the
church of finance, etc. If you are a member of the church of strategy,
your answers to questions will be framed through the lens of strategy;
if you come from the church of finance, you come up with finance
answers; and so forth. I wanted to be a member of the church of
questions, and to be completely agnostic about which field the
answers to the questions would fall into. If the answers fell
in organization, in leadership, in finance, in strategy—or
none of the above—then so be it.
Being at odds with the academic establishment (and being immature
to boot), yet wanting to pursue a lifelong academic career of
research and teaching, I found myself in quite a conundrum. But
then I noticed a pattern: increasing numbers of management faculty
found themselves outside the traditional academic fold, becoming
essentially entrepreneurs. Even so, this did not resolve my dilemma.
Those who had taken the entrepreneurial path had become consultants
or built big training companies—a path that did not fit
with my talents or passions. I didn’t want to be in business;
I still wanted to be a professor.
But then I asked myself the Genesis question: what might this
same challenge look like to people thirty years down the road?
If this were 2025, rather than 1995, what additional options might
I have?
The answer flashed clearly in my mind: I could choose to invert
the phrase professor of entrepreneurship and, instead, become
an entrepreneurial professor. In the previous two decades, it
had become a well-trodden career path to forgo a traditional corporate
structure and launch out with your own company. So, I reasoned,
why not apply that same idea to academics? Why do you need to
be at a university to be a professor? Being a professor is not
a position or a title; it is a role in the world. Thirty years
into the future, I figured, there would perhaps be an entire group
of people who became professors to the world, but outside the
traditional academic structure.
That’s when I moved back to Boulder, Colorado, set up my
research laboratory in my old first grade classroom, and became
a self-employed professor. I explicitly did not set up a consulting
business or a training company. Rather, I organized my calendar
exactly as I did when on faculty at Stanford: 50% of my time in
research, writing and idea development; 30% of my time in various
forms of teaching; 20% of my time in administrative stuff that
just needs to get done. I know of few other academics who have
explicitly considered this path, but perhaps in a few years many
more will. Indeed, what looks like a difficult and risky path
today might seem blasé to people in two decades—a
path easily followed and embraced by many.
Now, you might be wondering: how did I fund my professorship?
Ah, the answer to that lies in the topic of luck. Jerry Porras
and I had recently published Built to Last and we were hit with
the good fortune of a best seller. Not that we expected a best
seller—after all, who would have thought that an idea-driven
book based on six years of academic research would become a best
seller? But the book came out at just the right moment (just as
people tired of restructuring and craved a return to building,
rather than destroying), and the zeitgeist of the times fell into
our laps. Then, seven years later, my research team and I were
struck again with phenomenal good luck, as the first book to come
out of the research lab—Good to Great—landed in the
market just as Enron imploded, the new economy fell out of favor,
and the stock market bubble burst. We had the zeitgeist in our
favor once again, and we had an even bigger best seller. Taken
together, Built to Last and Good to Great enabled me to become
a fully self-employed professor, to endow my own chair and to
grant myself tenure.
Of course, it could have turned out differently. Had the zeitgeist
not been on our side, my career shift might have failed, dashed
on the rocks of reality like so many other entrepreneurial dreams.
But that brings me to the next lesson in climbing as a classroom.
Lesson #3: Separate Probability from Consequence: How
to Succeed—and Stay Alive—by Understanding the True
Risks
In the summer of 1975, a young climber named David Breashears
set his sights on a beautiful, unclimbed sheet of rock rising
from the ground on a cliff south of Boulder, Colorado. For years,
no rock climber had given serious thought to climbing this section.
“Someday that wall will be climbed, but not in this generation,”
said many a climber looking at the smooth sheet. The challenge
lay not in the apparent difficulty of the climbing, but in the
absence of natural protection. Breashears saw no cracks where
he might slot wired climbing nuts, and he was climbing in an era
before it became acceptable to drill expansion bolts directly
into the rock for protection. (Wired nuts are small pieces of
metal with a cable connector to which you can attach the rope.
The nuts can be slotted into tapering sections of cracks, where
they wedge tight and might hold a leader fall.) The wall rose
dead vertical for about five stories, with little pebbles and
sharp edges, then the angle kicked back to 85 degrees with holds
that looked larger. To Breashears, it looked like the lower sections
posed the main problem—where falling would only mean injury,
not death.
Breashears headed up the route, trailing a rope and carrying
a small selection of wired nuts that he hoped to slot into one
of the upper pockets after the hard climbing. At the fifty foot
mark, with the angle easing off just a bit, he had a horrifying
realization: the climbing above would be more difficult than the
opening moves, and there were still no places to slot nuts. The
rock became water polished from thousands of years of runoff from
above, and the sloping hand holds had no sharp edges to grip.
The rope dropped away from his waist harness to the ground in
one arcing loop, clipped through . . . absolutely nothing. No
gear, no placements of any type. If he fell, he would plummet
sixty feet straight down on to the jumble of sofa sized boulders
strewn at the base. At 32 feet per second squared, he would slam
into the boulder field at nearly fifty miles per hour at a force
of 20gs. Ka-Smack! One dead climber.
Was this a risky situation?
Well, it depends on what you mean by risk.
For David Breashears, it was not a risky situation. Sure, the
consequences of a fall were severe, but the probabilities of a
fall were close to zero. David was such a gifted climber at his
prime, that—to him—the route formed a puzzle to solve,
but not a particularly difficult one. It would be like handing
a world-class crossword puzzle expert the Wednesday New York Times
crossword puzzle (a challenging puzzle, but well within her capabilities)
with the instructions: if you don’t get the puzzle right,
we’re going to drop you off a sixty foot cliff to your death.
The consequences of failure are extreme, but the probabilities
of failure are low.
Of course, if the puzzle-solver allowed the consequences of failure
to rattle her into a series of panicky decisions, she might slip
up and be thrown off the cliff to her death. And if Breashears
had allowed the sixty foot ground fall potential to infect his
brain, he might have died. But he didn’t. He was able to
separate the probabilities of falling from the consequences of
falling, and he climbed with focused precision to the top, establishing
a new route aptly named Perilous Journey. Since that date in 1975,
fewer than a dozen climbers have ascended the route on lead. Not
because it is particularly difficult (it is 5.11 on a 5.14 scale),
but because of the severe consequences in the event you happen
to fall off.
To date, no one has died on Perilous Journey. The people who
choose to climb it are those for whom the odds of falling are
close to zero, yet who understand that it doesn’t matter
how easy or hard the climbing, how high or low the probabilities
of falling, if you fall hundreds or thousands of feet, the consequences
are severe. They go at Perilous Journey with a mindfulness that
respects not just the climb, but the potential fall. They don’t
let the potential death fall rattle them, but equally, don’t
climb with a cavalier attitude.
It turns out that some of the most tragic episodes in rock climbing
have come when climbers mismanaged this distinction, becoming
blasé on easy terrain. Take the case of Cameron Tague.
On July 6, 2000, he made the approach to the Diamond Face on Long’s
Peak, a thousand feet of sheer granite that begins one thousand
feet above another cliff called the Diagnoal. To get to the Diamond,
he decided to traverse in from the side of the Diagonal, then
advance along a sloping ledge at the base of the Diamond. The
sloping traverse ledge, called Broadway, marks the point of separation
between the two cliffs—the Diamond rising above for a thousand
feet, and the Diagonal falling below for a thousand feet. For
a climber as gifted as Tague, it would be an easy traverse to
the base of the Diamond, and to save time for the difficult climbing
ahead on the actual face, he didn’t even bother to rope
up. He remarked to his partner that it was going to be a gorgeous
day on the face. Then somehow, just as he reached the point in
the traverse where the whole thousand feet of the Diagonal fell
away below him, he lost his concentration, pulled on a loose piece
of stone, and stumbled backward. Tague tried to recapture his
balance, his hands grasping and waving about as he skittered toward
the edge of the ledge, but he could not stop. He disappeared over
the edge, and fell 800 feet to the talus below. The probabilities
of falling were remote, but the consequences were lethal.
Separating probability from consequence applies not just to climbing,
but also to work, life and business. In 1994, when Intel Corporation
first discovered the floating decimal point flaw in its Pentium
microprocessor product, engineers estimated that it would cause
a rounding error in division once every nine billion times, or
only once every 27,000 years for the average spreadsheet user.
This astronomically small probability blinded Intel’s leaders
from worrying about the the astronomically high consequences on
the other side of the coin, given that Intel’s products
had become a widely used consumer brand extending far beyond its
traditional customer base of technical sophisticates. When that
one in a billion event happened to a math professor, it ignited
an explosion of internet chat, which in turn, caught the attention
of the media. As then Intel-CEO Andy Grove described in his book,
Only the Paranoid Survive (a good title for climbers, by the way),
Intel found itself hounded by CNN, pilloried in the press and
jolted by unhappy customers. On December 12, 1994, Grove awoke
to read the horrific headline: IBM stops all shipments of Pentium
based computers. Ultimately, Intel took a $475 million write off—an
amount equal to half a year’s R&D budget, or five years
of Pentium advertising spending.
While Intel didn’t die from the fall like Cameron Tague,
it certainly crashed onto a ledge and shattered its leg. To Intel’s
credit, it learned from this experience and changed its way of
doing business to account for the consequences, not just the probabilities.
To date, we have not seen another problematic Pentium event from
Intel.
The key lesson here is to be clear on the difference between
probability and consequence, and to act accordingly—to know
when it makes sense to climb to fallure and when to not. On dangerous
routes like Perilous Journey, or even the easy approach to the
Diamond, you should avoid climbing to fallure—no matter
how difficult or easy the terrain. On sport routes with big solid
bolts (like Crystal Ball) you can get on difficult climbs with
a 5% chance of success and throw yourself into full fallure mode.
It might be scary, but it is not dangerous.
Separating probability from consequences—being able to
see clearly when the consequences of fallure are minimal—is
the key to leading an entrepreneurial life. When I taught at the
Stanford Graduate School of Business, many of my students failed
to grasp this distinction, and it limited their options. One student
came to my office and said, “I’d really like to start
my own company, but it just seems so risky, so I’m going
to take a job with IBM.”
“What would happen if you give your start-up the full try,
and failed?” I asked. “What would you do?”
“I suppose I would go and get a job,” she said.
“And with your background, energy and skills—how
hard would that be?”
“Not very hard.”
“So, you’re telling me that the worst case scenario
is that you would fail and you’d be right back where you
are now: looking at getting a regular job.”
For a Stanford MBA, trying a start up is like going to fallure
on a well bolted sport route. Sure, the odds of success are low,
but the consequences of falling are minimal. The rope will catch
her. She went out on her own, gave it the full effort, and managed
to climb through and build a successful start up. But she would
have never known that if she hadn’t separated probability
from consequence, seen her MBA as a big solid bolt that would
catch her, and been willing to throw herself into full fallure
mode.
When in a game with high consequences to falling, be mindful,
no matter how low the odds of falling. When in a game with minimal
consequences to falling, you can take on challenges with low odds
of success and throw yourself into the endeavor and climb to fallure.
Of course, we have left unanswered how to think about a different
probability/consequence scenario: high odds of falling combined
with severe consequences. Unless you are searching for true adventure
or Kleos (the ancient Greek notion of everlasting glory attained
through the achievement of heroic deeds), I’d recommend
staying away from this combination. But if you do elect this extreme
brand of adventure—and accept the very real chance that
you will kill or maim yourself—be sure to give yourself
the best hedge against the risks: pick the right partner. And
that brings us to the next lesson in climbing as a classroom.
Lesson #4: Form the Partner’s Pact: How to Succeed
by Practicing the Discipline of First Who, Then What
In 1978, Jim Logan set his sights on the North Face of Mount
Robson, an unclimbed wall in the Canadian Rockies known as the
Emperor Face. Logan had made two prior attempts, only to be defeated.
On the third attempt, he succeeded. When asked for the key to
his ultimate success, he said: “The problem lay in the fact
that above the mid-way mark, you reach a point where it is impossible
to retreat. No-one’s going to come get you—you either
summit, or die. I scoped the face from photographs, but I couldn’t
tell if the route I envisioned would ultimately be climbable.
I realized that the most important element of my strategy lay
not in the specifics of the route, but in who I picked as a partner.
I needed a partner who would give the greatest chance of success,
regardless of what we encountered high on the face. That’s
when I teamed up with Mugs Stump.”
In Logan’s recollection, Stump had been so deeply infected
with a passion for climbing that he turned his car around on the
way to National Football League training camp and returned to
Yosemite Valley, where he’d spent the summer climbing. “Mugs
came from one of those steel towns in Pennsylvania, the local
boy who made good as a college star defensive back and NFL draft
pick. His family and friends just couldn’t understand why
he abandoned his promising football career to climb. But Mugs
didn’t care. He just wanted to climb, and he threw himself
into it with a ferocious intensity. He was going to make good
on his decision by getting up some of the hardest climbs in the
world.”
Mugs’ sheer physical strength and agility, combined with
his fanatical dedication to making a mark in the climbing world,
made him an unbeatable partner for the Emperor Face. “I
had this feeling that no matter what would happen up there, Mugs
was strong enough to get us out. Of course, I learned later, that
he felt that I was the partner for him, as I had the intellect
needed to find the most elegant path. We were sort of brains and
brawn. He thought I was the strength of the team, and I thought
he was the strength of the team. We had faith in each other, and
it gave us the confidence to go into the summit or die zone.”
Stump and Logan swapped leads, taking turns at tackling the
difficulties of the face. More than once, each said something
like, “Whew, I’m glad you led that pitch.” On
the final day, Logan held responsibility for the last hard section:
a snow, ice and rock pitch all rolled into one long headwall seven
thousand feet above their base camp. (A pitch is the amount of
climbing between two anchor stations, no longer than a single
rope length. From the ground to the first anchor station is pitch
one. From the first anchor station to the second anchor station
is pitch two¸ and so forth. An anchor station is a ledge
or place where the lead climber stops to put in a set of gear
that cannot pull out—the anchor—which is then used
as the point of last safety, where the person holding the belay
rope stands while the other climbs. If the anchor point fails,
then both climbers would fall to the ground, roped together.)
“I had to climb forty feet above a single one inch angle
piton—that’s all I could get in. There just weren’t
any good cracks in the wall to place protection. If I didn’t
make it, if I fell, if I lost concentration, if I blew it in any
way—not only would I die, but so would Mugs. Both our lives
were in my hands, and I had to come through. I remember digging
my ice axe into the very top of the wall and mantling over the
top, tumbling into an exhausted heap over the top. But I have
very little recollection of the rest of the pitch. I think I was
on the final headwall—130 feet of climbing—for something
like eight hours, but I had no real sense of time.”
A quarter of a century after their ascent, Jim Logan remains
the only living climber to have ascended the middle of the Emperor
Face. It has killed or defeated every climber who has attempted
it in the intervening years, and sadly, Mugs Stump died a decade
later, while guiding a less-experienced group of climbers out
of a storm on Mount McKinley. Everyone who knew Mugs and had the
privilege to climb with him says the same thing: “I miss
him. He was a great partner.” In the world of adventure,
there is no higher compliment.
The Emperor Face illustrates a fundamental lesson: the most important
decisions we make are not about what, but about who. We live in
a “what” culture: What are we going to do? What is
our strategy? What are our tactics? What! What! What! The most
important decision is not “what strategy should I use to
get up the mountain?” but “who should I climb with?”
Hand in hand with this is the idea of the “Partner’s
Pact”: the dedication not just to getting up the mountain,
but a commitment to getting each other up the mountain, and down
safely. When you combine the principle of “First Who, Then
What” with the Partner’s Pact, you get a magical combination
that increases the odds of success and infuses the whole ascent
with deeper meaning.
The idea of “First Who” turns out to be a fundamental
principle for other walks of life, especially building great companies.
In a five year research project, my colleagues and I studied the
rare companies that managed to make the leap from being merely
good performers (or worse) to truly great performers that sustained
that performance over time. When David Maxwell became CEO of Fannie
Mae, it was losing $1 million every business day with $56 billion
of mortgage loans under water. With a negative 6% spread on its
portfolio, and no end in sight, most analysts saw nothing but
a bleak future for Fannie Mae, perhaps even extinction. When the
board asked Maxwell what he would do to save the company, he responded
that this was the wrong question. Not the wrong question forever,
but the wrong question at the start. He would not decide where
to drive the bus until he had the right people on the bus, the
wrong people off the bus, and right people in the right seats.
Then, and only then, he would figure out where to drive it. Like
Logan, he had a broad idea of the mountain (save Fannie Mae, and
turn it into a great mortgage finance company), but no idea what
exact path would get him to the top. So, he picked the right partners,
figuring that great people provided the best “strategy”
for ultimate success.
Maxwell’s approach reflects a general pattern we found
in our research. The leaders who took companies from good to great
did not first set strategy and then figure out how to get people
to do it. Just the opposite, in fact. They would first get the
right people on the bus, the wrong people off the bus, and the
right people in the right seats, and then they’d figure
out where to drive it. We also found that those on the good-to-great
teams loved their work, in large part because they loved who worked
with. They tended to become and remain friends for life, still
keeping in touch with each other years after retirement. They
understood that getting to the top in and of itself has very little
to do with a meaningful life, while who you choose to spend your
time with has everything to do with the quality and meaning of
your life. And for the kicker, those who found the right people
in the first place had a better chance of getting to the top in
the end.
Once I understood the First Who principle, I changed my own approach
to climbing. Now, I no longer think first in terms of what I want
to climb this weekend; I think in terms of who I want to go climbing
with, and then we’ll figure out what to climb. My love of
climbing and the meaning it brings to my life has increased, in
large part because I so enjoy the people I choose to climb with.
I’ve also discovered the joys of the Partner’s Pact.
Jim Logan has become one of my favorite “whos” to
go climbing with. When we’re working on a sport climb and
one of us gets up the route first, he returns to the climb as
many times as needed until his partner also ascends the route.
One route, Captain Crunch, required days of work to climb forty
feet of overhanging rock. Being taller than Logan, I was able
to get the route first because I could more easily reach a key
handhold. Nonetheless, we returned five or six more times, until
Logan also got up the route. The day he succeeded, I felt just
as excited as when I made it to the top. The joy and meaning of
the climb came not just in the individual achievement , but in
getting each other up the route—and enjoying the minute
by minute process of being outside in the mountains with a great
friend. This is what the Partner’s Pact is all about.
Of course, every climber is accompanied by another partner, silent
and invisible. It’s called luck. Climbing taught me that
there is no pact to be made with this partner—which is why,
if you rely too heavily on it, you just might end up dead. And
that brings us to our final and perhaps most important lesson
in climbing as a classroom.
Lesson #5: Don’t Confuse Luck and Competence: How
to not let Success Kill You
On a spring day in 1979, I learned a lesson in humility—a
lesson whose tuition was nearly my life, and the life of my partner.
In the previous year, I’d been on a roll—having done
some difficult climbs and surviving some close calls along the
way. On one climb, I’d felt small grains of rock skittering
down the rock, then heard the awful rumble of a car sized block
cracking loose and bouncing down the cliff. Somehow, it shattered
into pieces, all of which bounced around me without a single hit.
On another climb, I’d belayed my partner over the steep
overhang looking down the north face of the Third Flatiron, with
my feet dangling out over a two hundred foot straight drop to
the talus. Reaching the top, my partner looked at the anchor and
went ashen. He pointed to what I’d failed to see: that I’d
set the anchors behind a giant block that wasn’t actually
attached to the wall. Had my partner fallen on the overhang, he
would have pulled me tight on the anchor and the two of us, detached
block and all, would have tumbled in a tangled mass of rope and
bodies in a free fall to the ground. We would have been airborne
just long enough to think, “We’re gonna die.”
Then on a third climb, called Jules Verne, I’d climbed ten
feet to the right of where I should have been, and when I realized
my mistake, I was well above where the hard climbing should have
ended, and thirty feet out from my last protection nut wedged
in a crack. I tried a delicate traverse across the wall to get
back on route, but my foot popped, and I found myself looking
down at a huge arc of rope as I fell sixty feet. Somehow, I sailed
right past where the wall jutted out just a bit, and came tight
on the rope without hitting anything. I came away scared—my
partner tells me that I let out a primal yell on the way down—but
unscathed. Not so much as a scratch.
Being young and male, it never really occurred to me that I was
lucky. I was alive—and got up the climbs—because,
in my mind, I was good. If other climbers died, I reasoned, they
must have lacked some skill I possessed. It couldn’t possibly
be luck.
But on a cliff named Cynical Pinnacle, I came to see how terribly
wrong I was. I would be humbled and—luckily—before
my hubris killed me.
I had grabbed an inexperienced partner to go with me, a fellow
named Dick. I didn’t even know his last name. I just recruited
him to the adventure from the front of the local climbing store.
“Come along,” I cajoled, “it will be the adventure
of a lifetime!” It didn’t matter to me whether Dick
had the experience required to get up the route. I felt so fit,
and in such control, that all I needed—or so I thought—was
as warm body to hold the belay rope. I gave him mechanical ascending
devices to clamp on the rope, so that he could climb rope behind
me at the end of each pitch.
We reached the ledge before the summit headwall of Cynical Pinnacle
late in the afternoon. The air felt full, the way it always does
before a big storm in the early spring. Looking out from my perch,
I could see the snow-capped peaks of the Colorado Rockies becoming
engulfed in a shoal of mist. The rock, which had only hours earlier
been warm and friendly to the touch, now felt cold and unfriendly.
“Only fifty feet to go,” I said, looking up at the
final section of rock. “I think we should go for it.”
“I don’t know, Jim,” said Dick. “I’m
tired, and besides, there’s a storm moving in. If we reach
the top and the lightning starts, we’ll be sitting ducks.”
He was right. We would be sitting atop a giant lightning rod.
But I felt strong, and thought I could get us up and off quickly
enough. I led up the final pitch, moving fast, leaving Dick wide
eyed at the belay ledge.
My euphoria upon reaching the top of The Prayer Book, the hardest
route on Cynical Pinnacle, came to an abrupt end, terminated by
an unusual popping sound. Something’s wrong, I thought to
myself. Something’s terribly wrong. Then I noticed that
it was the rope and climbing gear making the sound. I reached
up to touch my head, and realized that my hair was standing on
end. “Dick! The whole spire’s about to be hit by lightning.”
I looped the rope through the anchor bolts on top, like a pulley
system. “Lower me back to you.”
Dick, less experienced than me, fumbled with his gear. “Now!,”
I yelled. “Quick!” He cinched the rope around his
waist and hesitantly lowered me to back to the ledge just before
the lightening blasted all around us. Amazingly, it didn’t
carry down the rock to us.
I had the metallic taste of fear and adrenaline still in my mouth
when Dick asked, “So, how are we going to get down?”
It was a good question. The side we’d come up had no established
descent route. (The established descent route lay on the East
side, as a rope rappel from the top of the cliff. We were stuck
about a hundred feet down from the top, on the West side, and
we could not go back to the top because of the lightening.) Worse,
the walls dropped off at an overhanging angle, which meant we
would be hanging out in space and needed to swing on the ropes
to get into the next anchor points. But since we didn’t
bring any food, water, or extra clothing, we couldn’t wait
out the storm. Dick only wore shorts, as it had been a warm 75
degrees when we began. But now, with the temperature in the fifties
and dropping, we were facing a full early-spring front. With only
a few hours of daylight left, we had to do something.
We set up a rappel (a method of descent that involves leaning
back on the rope and sliding down the rope using a friction device,
just like you see in the movies or the Army “be all you
can be” commercials). I went first, kicking the wall with
my feet, to ensure that I would be able to swing back into an
anchor point. Near the end of the rope, I swung into the wall,
slammed in some gear, and tied myself down into a set of anchors.
Dick rappelled down. Because he didn’t kick the wall, he
just dangled out in space, spinning like a wad of gum on the end
of a long hair. Fortunately, I had the end of the rope with me,
so I just pulled him into the wall where I as already anchored
in, and tied him down.
“Ok, you pull the rope through, and I’ll set the
anchors for the next rappel,” I instructed. We were three
hundred feet from the ground and had at least two rappels to go.
I set to work on the anchors.
“Jim, the rope won’t pull.”
“What? Maybe you’re just pulling the wrong end.
Give me the rope.”
He did and I pulled. It didn’t budge. I could tell it
was really jammed. I started to get a sick feeling in my stomach.
“Did you check to make sure the knot was clear of the
crack when you started down?”
“No. Was I supposed to?”
I knew then we were in serious trouble. It was likely that the
knot holding the two ropes together had wedged itself in a crack.
The harder we pulled on the rope, the more stuck it would get.
I spotted a crack system about twenty feet to our right. “I’m
going to tie into the ropes and swing over to that other crack.
Maybe that will give us enough angle on the rope to pull the knot
free.”
I tied in and swung out on the rope, pushing myself with my feet
so I would fly over to the other crack. I reached it and clutched
the edge, pulling myself onto a little ledge so that I could insert
another anchor. I pulled the rope. No luck. “Dick, maybe
I can climb up this crack a ways and free the rope from higher
up. I’m going to give that a try.”
“Before you do, could you swing your shirt over to me?
I’m really starting to get cold, and my hands aren’t
working so well.” I took off my long sleeved rugby shirt
and tied it into the ends of the rope. Dick leaned out on the
anchors, which he remained directly tied to.
“Okay, Dick, here it comes.” I flung the rope his
direction and it sailed out across the wall.
He missed it.
It swung back in my direction, and I leaned way out in an attempt
to grab it. It was as if the whole thing happened in slow motion—frame
by stomach-sickening frame—as the rope swung just short
of my grasping fingers. Stunned, I just stared in disbelief as
it came to rest mid-way between us. There we were, 300 feet above
the surface of the earth. And now, we didn’t even have a
rope.
For the first time, a terrifying thought crossed my mind: That
I’d been lucky all along, and that just when I needed it
most, my luck had somehow run out.
I had three options. First, I could try to climb up to the stuck
knot. This option looked highly insecure, given the steepness
of the rock above. Second, we could wait for a rescue, and hope
that someone would notice that we’d failed to return home
when expected. That option, I concluded, meant certain death—falling
temperatures, increasing rain, and exhaustion added up to hypothermia.
I concluded that the best option lay in climbing down to a lower-angle
crack system below me, and then to the ground. From there—presuming
I didn’t fall off and kill myself—I could find a phone,
call one of my climbing buddies, and then climb back up to Dick
and get him off the cliff.
“Are you sure that’s what you should do?” asked
Dick. “What if you fall?”
“I think it’s our best option. We’ve got to
do something, or we’re going to die up here.”
I promised Dick that, no matter what, I would come back for him
that day. Then I took a deep breath and unclipped from the anchors
and began the exposed down climb. The rock, slick with rain, had
one big advantage: it had two inch wide cracks, just the right
size to wedge my hands inside and lock them tight against the
sides, using my bone structure. I made sure each hand-jam was
so solid that, if my feet slipped, the hand would just torque
even tighter into the crack, like a human camming device. After
an hour or so of deliberate moves, one after another, inching
down the crack, I finally stepped onto the ground.
I hadn’t eaten for fifteen hours, my throat felt parched
from lack of water, and my muscles were completely spent. The
wall loomed above—tall, dark and grey. And it still had
my partner in its clutches. We only had a couple hours of light
left.
Then I heard a strange sound. Waka-waka-waka-waka. I saw a helicopter
coming our way. Then I looked down on to the road and saw a caravan
of some twenty vehicles—jeeps, cars, vans, fire engines,
and trailers. It suddenly dawned on me that a woman who’d
been hiking in the area and seen our plight must have called for
a rescue. Now we’re in real trouble, I thought.
Not that I doubted their good intentions. But sheriffs and firefighters
generally do not know how to do severe rock rescues. I ran down
the hill, looking for the person in charge.
“That’s him,” somebody said, pointing to a
large, pot-bellied figure.
I ran over to him, gesticulating wildly and talking about how
we had to get back up there soon, before dark—and hypothermia—set
in.
“Just calm down, son. We’ve got everything under
control.”
“Look, I just need a person who can belay, a rope and
some gear. I can get to him myself.”
“No, this is very serious business,” he said.
“I know it’s serious. If we don’t act now,
it’s going to get a lot more serious. I’ll just take
a rope and go up there myself, if you won’t help.”
“Son! If you don’t calm down, I’ll put you
under arrest for your own protection.”
I felt the anger well up inside. Not so much at the Sheriff,
but at myself. It wasn’t his fault we were in the mess.
It was mine. And mine alone.
“Ok,” I relented. “What are our options?”
“Can we get to him by horseback?” the Sheriff asked.
“Not unless the horse can climb overhanging 5.10 cracks.”
He looked confused, revealing his lack of comprehension of the
situation. He must have thought we were two lost hikers, or something.
I asked to use the radio to talk to the helicopter pilot. I directed
the pilot to train a spot light on the lone figure up on the wall.
Dick looked like someone who’d ventured out onto the side
of a Space Shuttle and then had the scaffolding pulled away, leaving
him perched precariously on the side.
“Roger. We have him in our sights,” radioed the pilot.
There was a long pause, then: “Jesus H. Christ! How in
the hell did he get up there?”
I think the sheriff then realized that horses would not work.
After wrangling over a range of options, including dropping
me out of the helicopter on top of the cliff with a set of ropes,
we concluded that the best option was the simplest. Get me a climbing
partner and rope, and we’d climb straight up to Dick and
get him off. A man on the rescue team had climbing experience
and volunteered to belay me up the cliff in our attempt to reach
Dick. Darkness had fallen and the sheriff had directed all the
search lights onto the spire. The Pinnacle, shrouded in mist,
lit up with an eerie green tint on a backdrop of pitch black.
We found a crack system that headed in Dick’s direction,
and after an hour of negotiating my way up in the jagged shadows,
we finally reached him.
“Don’t worry, Dick. We’ve got you now.”
He didn’t respond, other than to slowly nod his head. His
skin felt cold—very cold—to the touch. We rigged a
descent line, and with the help of the rescue partner, we lowered
Dick to the ground. At around 3 a.m. the ordeal finally came to
an end, as Dick received emergency treatment. As his body core
temperature rose, I knew he would live, and come back to climb
another day.
And so would I, but more sobered and with a different perspective.
I’d learned perhaps the most important lesson in climbing
as a classroom: when you operate with the arrogance of self-attribution—“I’m
successful because, well, I’m me, and I’m really good”—that’s
when you run the biggest risks of all. Sustained results (and
in climbing, you can only attain sustained results if you stay
alive) require not just courage and will, but also a rigorous
form of self-honesty called humility.
Twenty years after Cynical Pinnacle, I found myself trying to
understand the inner workings of the few executives who had managed
to take good companies and turn them into great companies, in
contrast to executives who had failed to lead their companies
to a sustained leap from good to great. My research team and I
noticed a fascinating pattern that we came to call “The
Window and the Mirror.” When confronted with the undeniable
fact of their extraordinary success, the good-to-great CEOs had
a great propensity to point out the window to factors other than
themselves to pin the blame for that success, being very careful
to give credit to other people and to good luck. One good-to-great
CEO said that about eighty percent of the success of the company
during his tenure could be attributed to the wind at their backs.
I pointed out that the less-successful comparison company had
the same wind and bigger sails, to which he responded: “Hmmm,
then we must have been really lucky.” But when asked about
setbacks and failures along the way, the good-to-great CEOs never
pointed out the window; they would stand in front of the mirror
and say, “I am responsible.” In contrast, we noticed
that executives in the comparison companies would point out the
window to account for failures and setbacks: unfair competition,
the economy, the markets, and so forth. But when things would
go well, they would look in the mirror and attribute much of the
success to their own personal greatness. Some even went so far
as to publish self-congratulatory autobiographies, modestly titled
as their own name.
I look back on the late 1990s when an entire generation of business
people benefited from one of the most extraordinary bull markets
in history. CEOs saw the stock of their companies rise at double
digit rates, and paid themselves handsomely with stock options—as
if they had somehow caused the entire upward swing. Young dot
com entrepreneurs thought of themselves as invincible; they came
to believe they could defy the laws of gravity and ignore fundamentals
like creating sustainable profitability. Thousands of investors
fell into the trap of equating the rise in their 401ks with their
investment savvy, and hundreds of venture capitalists came to
see themselves as smarter than Warren Buffet. Then the market
crashed, and CEO stature fell right along with it. Dot coms imploded.
And investors watched their retirement accounts decline back to
more realistic levels. En masse, we’d made the mistake of
confusing luck with competence.
I had a professor in graduate school named Robert Burgelman who
pounded into me the idea that the single most dangerous perspective
in business and life is not outright failure, but to be successful
without being absolutely clear about why you were successful in
the first place. Success, he pointed out, clouds judgment. Better
to operate with brutal self-honesty about the role of factors
other than yourself. As I look at the best executives from my
research, they used this idea not as a form of weakness, but as
a form of self-discipline—“perhaps we were just lucky,
so we’d better be just that much more disciplined to make
ourselves just that much stronger, so that we’ll still be
strong if our luck ever runs out . . .”
Of course, sustained excellence isn’t just about humility,
it is also about will. The will to go to fallure. The will to
separate probability from consequence, and to act accordingly.
The will to pick the right partners, and to come through for them.
The will to climb in the future, today. And at times, perhaps
even the will to go for it when the odds are low and the consequences
severe. But those who climb enough eventually learn that luck
is a factor in life, and we cannot control all the outcomes. Those
who have a long, sustained career of ascents eventually learn
to acknowledge and distrust their luck, constantly honing their
competence to deal with the day when their luck runs out.
Nearly a quarter of a century after Cynical Pinnacle, climbing
continues to hold a prominent place in my life. Indeed, as I write
these words, I am on an airplane, flying back from the East Coast.
Upon landing, I plan to amble up the First Flatiron. (Start the
day in Manhattan; end the day on top of the First Flatiron—a
nice combination.) And if the weather turns bad or we arrive too
late, then I’ll work out in my home rock climbing gym. No
matter how you slice it: I am a very lucky guy! Still, as I reflect
on Cynical Pinnacle, I’m continually reminded of a line
a great poet once wrote, “A man is a fool who counts too
much on his luck, particularly when he’s had more than his
share.”
Epilogue: On Becoming an Expert Beginner
After climbing for twenty-five years, I decided to get a climbing
coach. I noticed that my climbing had reached a plateau, and I
was curious to see if I could continue to grow as a climber well
beyond my 40th birthday.
My friends thought it weird. What could a climbing coach teach
me, after all these years and thousands of hard routes?
It turns out to be the wrong question. Not the wrong question
forever, but the wrong question to start. The most important lessons
from my climbing coaches—Nick and Heather Sagar—lay
not in what I needed to learn, but in what I first needed to unlearn.
In the late 1970s, the challenging routes differed considerably
from today’s sport routes in that they tended to be sharply
angled or nearly vertical. If you rappelled off, you would usually
be able to touch the rock all the way down. Modern sport routes,
in contrast, frequently jut ten, thirty, even fifty or more degrees
past vertical, forming steep overhangs. On such a route, you might
climb forty feet horizontal (upside down) for every hundred feet
of vertical. When you fall off, you usually just fly through the
air, with nothing to hit and a big fat bolt to catch you when
the rope comes tight. It’s a lot like bungee jumping—scary,
but safe. Contrast that to the old-style routes, in which you
usually slide and bang down the face, smashing limbs and losing
chunks of skin—and that’s if the gear holds in the
first place. (Old-style routes often have insecure protection
that could rip out of the rock much more easily than the big,
solid protection bolts that became commonplace in late 1980s.)
On bolted modern routes, the consequences of falling are minimal;
you can fall as much as you want, whereas on many traditional
old-style routes, you should do everything you can to not fall.
When Nick and Heather first began working with me, my years of
experience on scary, vertical climbing taught me to fear falling
and ingrained in me a careful, deliberate style that ensured survival.
This conservative manner impeded my ability to ascend harder modern
climbs, which require big dynamic moves constantly on the edge
of fallure. To climb a modern route at your absolute limit requires
dozens of falls before you succeed—otherwise, well, it’s
not at your limit.
So, like a raw beginner, Nick and Heather taught me how to fall.
One of Heather’s assignments: “Over the next year,
I want you to take a thousand leader falls.”
Dutifully I began jumping off routes. At first, I took little
bitty baby falls. But after a hundred small falls, I began leaping
off the rock, striving for much larger falls. I almost came to
enjoy them.
“Now comes the hard part,” counseled Nick. “We
need to make you a worse climber for awhile, so you can become
a better climber. All your old tricks and techniques for getting
up vertical routes hinder you on steep, powerful routes. When
you get into difficulty on a hard route, you resort to your strengths,
and that’s why you fail.”
“But I’ve always believed that you should play to
your strengths,” I responded.
“Yes, so long as your strengths are helpful to the task
at hand. But in your case, all the old strengths that used to
serve you so well are now harmful habits—at least in the
realm of harder routes. You need to build a new set of strengths
from scratch and, most important, not rely on your old strengths
to get up routes. This means you will have to drop down a few
grades while you learn anew.”
Nick and Heather put me on a steep problem to demonstrate, and
I made five or six foot movements to get my body position stable
(staying in control, as I had always learned to do). But in my
deliberate style, I ran out of strength. “No!,” Heather
scolded. “Do it like Nick.” Nick grabbed the same
holds, cut loose with his feet, threw one leg up the wall in a
big arcing motion, and catapulted his body upward in a huge dynamic
heave. Ka-whap! In a second, he was up the same ten feet I’d
diddled around on. He climbed more like a gymnast swinging around
on a high bar, whereas I climbed like a dowdy workman clambering
up a ladder.
My climbing did indeed worsen for awhile. But then the new techniques
started to click, and I felt the excitement of progress, of becoming
expert again—only with a whole new style and mind-set. I
was in my mid-forties, feeling a passion for climbing that I haven’t
felt since my teenage years. Rather than being depressed by “stepping
backwards in order to step forward,” I feel renewed energy.
Like getting a big flywheel turning in a new direction, I had
to do a lot of work to even get the thing moving at all. But as
the flywheel began to build more and more momentum, I felt the
excitement of seeing it break through, from one turn to two, from
two to four, from four to eight, from eight to 32, to 64, to 128,
to a thousand rpms. The sense of progress acted like an internal
engine of motivation, which then led to better training, which
then led to more turns on the flywheel, which then motivated even
more, which produced better climbing, and more motivation, and
so on and so forth. The very process of improvement and growth
became the very point of it all.
I noticed that many of my climbing buddies didn’t really
take to the Nick and Heather program. I kept encouraging them
to try it, to become better climbers. Then it dawned on me: after
years of climbing and thinking of themselves as already super-expert,
they felt uncomfortable with the idea of becoming a beginner again
and were reluctant to try a new technique. So, they stayed with
their strengths, and continued to climb at a high level—but
much lower than they could potentially climb if they became beginners
again.
In his classic book, The Discoverers, Daniel Boorstin argues
that the primary barrier to human progress is not ignorance, but
the illusion of knowledge and the dedication to “expertise.”
The best discoverers, according to Boorstin, are not the smartest
or most talented, but those who either are—or have the discipline
to remain—expert beginners in their field. They see more
clearly the way the world really works because they are less burdened
with “knowledge” of what they are supposed to see.
The same holds for any creative or entrepreneurial endeavor, which
requires the precision of a scientist and the wonder of a child.
I see this same pattern in the greatest corporate leaders I’ve
studied in my research, from David Packard to Sam Walton. Walton,
founder of Wal-Mart, viewed himself not as a definitive expert
on retailing but as a lifelong student of his craft, always asking
questions and taking every opportunity to learn. A Brazilian businessman
once told me that of 10 U.S. retailing CEOs he asked for an appointment
after he’d purchased a discount retailing chain in South
America, only Walton said yes. “We didn’t know much
about retailing, so we wanted to talk to executives who knew the
business,” he explained. “Most didn’t bother
to reply. Sam said, ’Sure, come on up.’” Only
later did the Brazilian realize that Walton saw himself as the
student, and the Brazilian contingent as the teachers. “It
finally dawned on me that Sam was primarily interested in learning
from us; he pummeled us with questions about Brazil for two days
before I finally got a chance to ask a single question of substance.
If you didn’t know that this was Sam Walton, you would have
thought that he was a complete novice.”
The late John Gardner, founder of common cause and author of
Self Renewal, believed that people stagnate in their lives and
careers because they accumulate barnacles. “You’ll
find that your best work usually comes earlier in your career,
not later,” he once told me. “So the best way I know
to do your best work over a lifetime is to have multiple new starts
along the way.”
Perhaps this is why I felt such a strong instinct to set up my
research laboratory in my old first grade classroom, as a reminder
that no matter how expert I become, the only way to attain higher
levels of mastery is to let go of my expertise and learn as a
beginner all over again.
This of course is hard for most of us, as we like our position
in the expertise pecking order. But if comparison is the primary
sin of modern life, and I believe it is, then we need to focus
less on the pecking order and more on our own potential. When
it comes to climbing as a classroom, I’ve learned perhaps
this lesson above all: it is not how well you do your work relative
to others that matters, but how well you do your work relative
to yourself, and your own potential. And if that means becoming
a beginner again, so be it.
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